Notes on seasonality, positioning and valuation.
Coming soon.
How we test seasonal patterns, read CFTC positioning, and think about valuation cycles, written the way we'd explain it to another trader, not a compliance department. We're still writing the first posts.
Free during Alpha. No credit card required.
What we'll be writing about
No posts published yet, this is the plan for what Research will cover once the first notes are live.
How we test calendar patterns for statistical significance against a real benchmark, not just eyeballing a chart that only looks convincing because markets went up.
Reading CFTC Commitment of Traders data for commercial hedger extremes and crowding, and what actually tends to happen to price afterward.
Where valuation cycles like Shiller CAPE, real yields and credit spreads fit into a seasonal setup, and where they don't tell you anything useful.
How the grading model actually works under the hood, and what changes as we keep building it, in plain language.
About Research
When will the first posts go live?
Can I suggest a topic?
Get notified when Research launches.
Join the waitlist and we'll email you the moment the first notes are live.